Interactive graph
Second-Order Thinking
Table of Contents
Second-order thinking = ask what happens after the first win — incentives shift, copycats arrive, shortcuts compound.
Example
Free cookies at the door pull kids in - then the line blocks serious shoppers and staff burns out on samples. I asked what happens after the first rush, not only whether foot traffic spikes Tuesday.
Note Relationships
| Relationship | Wikilink | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| contradicts | Low Hanging Fruit | when downstream analysis blocks the obvious first move that was still worth it |
| extends | Expect the Counter | The counter is often a second-order effect |
| extends | Mental Models | Lens for downstream effects |
| extends | Strategic Foresight | See the next round before it lands |
